Grand Martingale Betting System
- Guide for Martingale Betting System. Know The Logic Behind Martingale Betting System with examples.
- Visit the post for more.
- Grand Martingale is a variation of the Martingale strategy. The difference between these two strategies is that when the player loses they add an additional bet.
- Grand Martingale Betting System
- The Grand Martingale Betting System
- Grand Martingale Betting System Blackjack
- The Grand Martingale Betting System
The Martingale betting system has some advantages, such as ease of play, but, like all house-edge betting systems, is rejected as a long-term money winner. Roulette Betting Systems - Grand Martingale - To understand why people use these systems and how they work, you need to understand what they are and the theories behind them.
The Martingale betting system started way back during the 18 century, at the time when gambling broke through the European countries. This betting system can be applied to any game of chance, but it is best used in games like roulette table and craps. However, it is important to know that one of the reasons why the Martingale betting system is not frequently used in skilled-based games is that it normally gives a player a high chance of winning a lot for a small token, while also giving a low chance of losing large amount of money. With this, many users see this betting system fits for short run betting, because chances are a player may lose large amount that he will not be able to continue the game. That is why this betting system has not been used frequently in the skilled-based games like the video poker and blackjack where real strategies are exhibited.
It’s important to know that, the Martingale betting system is the most popular betting system in history, it is considered very effective and it’s simple and easy to play. Anyone can learn how to use the Martingale betting system without any hassle. Below, you will find some helpful information on how the system works.
- Martingale betting system works best on bets that have equal chances of winning and losing e.g. a bet on Red or Black in roulette game. Simply to say, it’s a bet where there is a 50/50 chance of winning and losing.
- The Martingale rules states that, when a player loses a bet, he or she will have to double their bet on the next spin. This means, if a player wagers a minimum of $2 on the Red bet at the roulette table game and subsequently loses, his next spin will be a wager of $4 again on the Red, and he will always stay on the Red. However, if he loses again, the next spin will be $8, and so on and so forth.
- The most fascinating thing about this betting system is that, when the same player that has been losing, has subsequently wins; he will recoup all of his loses plus bonuses, and his next bet will be returned to the original wager to start the betting again. Its looks easy and simple, but it’s actually very risky at the same time.
The logic is somehow helpful when there is a chance of winning. For example, the rule that says when a player loses a wager, the next spin will be a double wager, gives the player the chance to earn profits and recoup all of his loses if he subsequently wins. This has made gamers to have confidence in the game knowing that there is always a chance of winning before the game ends.
The risk involved is that, if peradventure the player’s money had finished even before he wins a single spin, it means that the player will have to deal with a total loss and gave up the game. This is one of the Martingale betting system’s that has proven to be a stumbling stone for gamers. However, it’s important to know that, there’s always a chance of winning and gaining profits if you stick to the game even when you are losing.
Hope you find this article helpful.
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The principle of the famous Martingale system in Roulette is very simple. We bet a specific amount of money e.g. on our favorite color. If we succeed, we grab the win and start over betting the same amount. If we lose at any time, we double our previous bet and simply keep doubling until we succeed, whereupon we get back lost money plus little extra (the initial bet). It almost seems we cannot lose...
On the page devoted to the Martingale system we assumed that this system, regardless of its simplicity and indisputable logic, may be very tricky due to two reasons. First, we need quite a large capital, i.e. we must be prepared to risk a lot of money in case a long losing series appears, since doubling of bets grows stealthily from the beginning, but soon goes through the roof.
Note: Roulette has been virtually created for the Martingale strategy, however it – and thus the results of this test or simulation as well – can be used for other gambling games with even-money bets, i.e. those with the payout 1:1.
Secondly, even more fundamental factor consists in the betting limits, which are applied by a vast majority of casinos. The lower is the limit of maximum bet, the fewer times we can double the bets until we hit the limit. Anyway this assumption shall be proven by this first grand test of the Martingale system. The betting limits may correspond to a stone casino: the minimum (even-money) bet is $5
, the maximum is $500
.
How We Test
The Martingale system is tested by a random MS Excel simulation. The test simulates 100,000 spins of the Roulette. The table 1 below illustrates the first 20 spins of the test. Before we get to the meaning of the table headings, let us stipulate the conditions of the test/simulation:
- We play French Roulette (only one zero);
- We always bet on the red color as the choice of color is irrelevant and has no impact on the result of the test;
- If black color or zero comes out, the bet loses and is doubled in the next spin (if zero appears the bet is not frozen but loses instantly);
- Minimum bet $5;
- Maximum bet $500.
Table 1 – First 20 spins (out of 100,000) of the Martingale test with betting limits
'Spin #' reaches from 1 to 100,000. For each spin a random winning 'Number' is generated (the color of the number sticks to the Roulette rules and is determined automatically). We start with a $5 'Bet': if we win, we start over with $5 bet again; if we lose, we double the bet in the next spin. 'Profit/Loss' shows the net outcome of the spin and it is added to the 'Balance'.
The balance represents our capital and its development throughout the test of the Martingale system with limited bets. The initial balance is set to null as different players may dispose of different capital. The balance is net so it can be easily added to or deducted from each individual capital. In this test we suppose we have got enough money to finish the test..
Balance Development & Final Result of the Simulation
The balance is the most important indicator of the test, both its final state after the spin no. 100,000 and also its development during the test – that is best caught by the chart (see the figure 1).
The horizontal axis (x) represents the spins, while the vertical axis (y) shows the balance (darker green curve) and net profit/loss in individual spins (lighter green curve). The lighter green curve almost turns into a line, but it will start 'moving' in the Martingale system test with unlimited bets.
Figure 1 – Balance development of the Martingale system simulation with betting limits
The chart shows that even with a few dollars in a pocket (we start with a $5 bet and a zero balance, however if we get into the negative balance, we must dig into our pocket to be able to bet again) we would win about $2,500 after 3,500 spins.
Then, however, there was a decrease in our balance, which fell into a loss of about $5,000. He who endured, with a good dose of luck, would achieve reversal and the maximum positive balance of $4,890 (the exact figures are shown by the Table 2 – see below).
Then, after a decrease and a little swing to the plus, there is steady decline, which is unfortunately the typical course of events if you play the Martingale system with limited bets for a long period of time (or a great number of spins).
Once fallen into negative balance, it is very hard to climb up, as (1) the probability always goes against us (18 red numbers win, 18 black numbers and zero lose), (2) we cannot double the bets in full due to the maximum bet allowed. If e.g. we are in the loss of $5,000, we can make only $500 bets, which means that we would have to win several times in a row to erase the loses.
The final balance after 100,000 spins is -$31,310 and evaluated at the end of this article. Meanwhile we can go through interesting statistics that came out from the test of the Martingale strategy.
Record Statistics
The simulation of the Martingale system based on 100,000 spins and limited stakes (min $5, max $500) brought a lot of interesting statistics.
A losing number, either a black number or a zero, appeared in 19 consecutive spins! That was the longest losing series of the test. The probability of such event is very low, precisely (19/37)19
or 1 in 315,874
. The number after '1 in ...' is considered to be the fair odds for this event.
The same single number appeared came out four times in a row. There were actually two such events. Number 3 came out in four consecutive spins # 31,705 to 31,708 and also number 36 appeared four times in a row (spin # 91,033 to 91,036). The probability for a single number to come out four times in a row in only 1 in 1,874,161
.
Table 2 – Record statistics & final balance
Hypothetically if you bet $1 on a single number and added the win to the bet, after four spins you would win more than $1.5 million (35 ˟ 35 ˟ 35 ˟ 35). You might be also interested in record Roulette series registered in real casinos.
Frequency of Winning & Losing Series (Colors)
All frequencies of winning and losing series are shown on the Table 3. We can see that there are many more-than-ten-long series. There are more losing series, of course, as they include not only black numbers but also zeros. We know that the longest losing series took 19 consecutive spins. The best or winning series took 15 spins (red color appeared 15 times in a row). The probabilities or the odds of the winning series are shown on the column '1 in ...'. The odds for the losing series would be lower due to a zero.
Table 3 – Frequency of winning & losing series (Colors)
There is precious information included in the Table 3. The most frequent 'series' was 1; that means that the colors alternated. Then it holds true that the longer is the series, the lowers is its frequency. Last but not least we can see that the number of losing series exceeds the number of winning series and altogether they make 100,000 spins.
The Best Series
The longest winning series took 15 spins and appeared at the end of the test – see the table 4. We can notice one substantial detail: we do not earn too much in case of a long winning series. As if we win, the 'series' ends and we start over with the minimum bet. We do that to keep room for doubling of the bets in case of losing spins. On the other hand, anytime we break the losing series, the result is that we get all the money back plus the minimum bet so that our balance out the losing series makes $5..
Table 4 – The longest winning series (of a red color)
Note: the first bet of this series (spin # 92,543) is $10, because the previous stake lost and thus the next bet must have been doubled.
The Worst Series
The longest losing series took 19 spins as shown by the Table 5. We can see that the stakes are doubled after each lost spin and that, thanks to the maximum $500 bet, we could double our bet in full only seven times. This unsuccessful series would cost us $6,635. However that is nothing as compared to the game with unlimited bets. In that case it would cost us unbelievable $2,621,435 (!).
The sequence of the doubled bets after $320 would continue as follows: $6,400 - $1,280 - $2,560 - $5,120 - $10,240 - $20,480 - $40,960 - $81,920 - $163,840 - $327,680 - $655,360 and $1,310,720. At the beginning one would not say how high it can climb up, what do you think? It is necessary to realize that doubling of bets grows exponentially.
Table 5 – The longest losing series (of black numbers and zeros)
Frequency of Single Numbers
Grand Martingale Betting System
The next figure shows the frequency of each individual number in this Martingale test. It shows how many times each number came out. The frequencies should be about equal as each number (0–36) can appear with the same probability (1/37
). An imaginary winner is number 3, the least frequent was a superstitious 13.
The Grand Martingale Betting System
Figure 2 – Frequency of single numbers
Grand Martingale Betting System Blackjack
Findings of the Martingale simulation with limited stakes
The first grand simulation of the Martingale system proved that the limit of maximum bet is also a limiting factor for a long-term success of a player using this strategy. The final balance -$31,310 speaks for itself. The simulation using MS Excel could have been carried out over and over again and it always finished with a negative balance. It would actually be a surprise if it ended differently due to the house edge.
Despite you can win at the beginning (see the figure one – balance chart), even quite a lot if you are lucky, the more you play, the likely the house edge will prevail. This test based on the 100,000 spins proves that.
It also holds true that the earlier you hit the long bad series, the harder it is to make it back to the positive territory. It would require a great deal of luck as the bets, due to the limit, cannot be doubled infinitely. The second test of the Martingale system with lower minimum bet (and thus bigger room for doubling) provided better results. The test of no limit Martingale will be brought in near future.
This article also aims at refuting 'guaranteed' earnings that are promised by some unsound websites. Although you can win in Roulette, it is hard (not to say almost impossible) to be in the black in the long run, while 'guaranteed' earnings are a clear nonsense as casinos would not exist.
The Grand Martingale Betting System
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